  {"id":844,"date":"2023-06-15T16:45:58","date_gmt":"2023-06-15T20:45:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/warinukraineobservatory\/?p=844"},"modified":"2025-11-11T10:50:27","modified_gmt":"2025-11-11T15:50:27","slug":"developing-international-implications-of-the-ukraine-war-by-robert-eales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/2023\/developing-international-implications-of-the-ukraine-war-by-robert-eales\/","title":{"rendered":"Developing International Implications of the Ukraine War \u00ad\u2013 by Robert Eales"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<section class=\"w-screen px-6 cu-section cu-section--white ml-offset-center md:px-8 lg:px-14\">\n    <div class=\"space-y-6 cu-max-w-child-5xl  md:space-y-10 cu-prose-first-last\">\n\n            <div class=\"cu-textmedia flex flex-col lg:flex-row mx-auto gap-6 md:gap-10 my-6 md:my-12 first:mt-0 max-w-5xl\">\n        <div class=\"justify-start cu-textmedia-content cu-prose-first-last\" style=\"flex: 0 0 100%;\">\n            <header class=\"font-light prose-xl cu-pageheader md:prose-2xl cu-component-updated cu-prose-first-last\">\n                                    <h1 class=\"cu-prose-first-last font-semibold !mt-2 mb-4 md:mb-6 relative after:absolute after:h-px after:bottom-0 after:bg-cu-red after:left-px text-3xl md:text-4xl lg:text-5xl lg:leading-[3.5rem] pb-5 after:w-10 text-cu-black-700 not-prose\">\n                        Developing International Implications of the Ukraine War \u00ad\u2013 by Robert Eales\n                    <\/h1>\n                \n                                \n                            <\/header>\n\n                    <\/div>\n\n            <\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<p><strong>Developing International Implications of the Ukraine War<\/strong> \u00ad\u2013 by Robert Eales<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Internationally, Western and allied nations consistently operate to aggressively support the defence of Ukraine in the name of promoting and protecting the sacred concept of sovereignty critical to the stable functioning of the Liberal International Order (LIO). Conversely, many countries within the Global South, a dividing international geopolitical term that groups former Cold War-era non-aligned \u2013 and often historically colonial \u2013 states, primarily advocate for diverging diplomatic approaches, variably shifting invasion blames to multiple parties and thereby indirectly legitimising Russian aggression. Such ill-defined and incoherent grandiose diplomatic plans, as proposed by Global South countries and other non-traditional international actors, are predominantly focussed on countering the United States\u2019 and West\u2019s geopolitical dominance, rather than suggesting good-faith attempts to aid Ukraine\u2019s defence or restore regional stability.<a href=\"#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\">[1]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An example of this somewhat-nefarious phenomenon is Brazil\u2019s recent call for Ukraine to compromise with Russia and accept partial defeat in the form of territorial concessions in order to end the conflict, and for an international clique of pre-selected Global South actors, primarily of BRICS \u2013 a lose counter-Western international organisation composed of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa \u2013 origin, to oversee the peace process.<a href=\"#_edn2\" name=\"_ednref2\">[2]<\/a> Such a coalition explicitly excludes Western nations in a status-driven posturing attempt to advance Brazilian and BRICS nations\u2019 own geopolitical relevancies at the expense of Ukraine and the LIO.<a href=\"#_edn3\" name=\"_ednref3\">[3]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This divisionary trend will continue to define future geopolitics as the Cold War-era non-aligned movement returns to the international mainstream. As seen via Sweden and Finland\u2019s recent decisive moves to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, the organisation and broader Western community are presently experiencing a uniting period of galvanisation and unity, drawing an end to the past two decades\u2019 identity crisis, while parts of the rest of the world arguably drift into more fractured circumstances.<a href=\"#_edn4\" name=\"_ednref4\">[4]<\/a> Furthermore, due to the flawed nature of United Nations inaction at the start of the invasion, mainly due to the Russian role in the Security Council, the institution\u2019s reputation and broader legitimacy have been irreparably harmed, negatively reflecting upon the rules-based LIO.<a href=\"#_edn5\" name=\"_ednref5\">[5]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Concluding the revived Cold War theme: European and Western nations, as well as other close international observers, have become, and will continue to be, significantly warier of economic and resource dependency with potentially-hostile adversarial powers. Instead, conscious policy shifts will prioritise immediate national security concerns over traditionally-established economic-oriented globalisation goals. This sweeping trend is currently unfolding in the form of deliberate future-oriented decoupling agendas pursued between the US and China, and between EU nations and Russia.<a href=\"#_edn6\" name=\"_ednref6\">[6]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\">[1]<\/a> Krickovic, Andrej, and Richard Sakwa. &#8220;War in Ukraine: The Clash of Norms and Ontologies.&#8221;&nbsp;<em>Journal of Military and Strategic Studies<\/em>&nbsp;22, no. 2 (2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref2\" name=\"_edn2\">[2]<\/a> \u201cWill Brazil&#8217;s Plan for Peace Talks on Ukraine Take Root?\u201d The Dialogue. Accessed April 10, 2023. https:\/\/www.thedialogue.org\/analysis\/will-brazils-plan-for-peace-talks-on-ukraine-take-root\/.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref3\" name=\"_edn3\">[3]<\/a> Prange, Astrid. \u201cA New World Order? BRICS Nations Offer Alternative to West \u2013 DW \u2013 04\/10\/2023.\u201d dw.com. Deutsche Welle, April 10, 2023. https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/a-new-world-order-brics-nations-offer-alternative-to-west\/a-65124269.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref4\" name=\"_edn4\">[4]<\/a> Forsberg, Tuomas. &#8220;Finland and Sweden\u2019s Road to NATO.&#8221;&nbsp;<em>Current History<\/em>&nbsp;122, no. 842 (2023): 89-94.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref5\" name=\"_edn5\">[5]<\/a> Sayapin, Sergey. &#8220;Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine: a test for international law.&#8221;&nbsp;<em>Nature Human Behaviour<\/em>&nbsp;6, no. 6 (2022): 768-770.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref6\" name=\"_edn6\">[6]<\/a> Garcia-Herrero, Alicia. &#8220;Slowbalisation in the Context of US-China Decoupling.&#8221;&nbsp;<em>Intereconomics<\/em>&nbsp;57, no. 6 (2022): 352-358.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Robert Eales is a&nbsp;<\/strong><\/em><em><strong>Global and International Studies (BGInS) u<\/strong><\/em><em><strong>ndergraduate student, ÐÓ°ÉÔ­´´ University<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Developing International Implications of the Ukraine War \u00ad\u2013 by Robert Eales Internationally, Western and allied nations consistently operate to aggressively support the defence of Ukraine in the name of promoting and protecting the sacred concept of sovereignty critical to the stable functioning of the Liberal International Order (LIO). Conversely, many countries within the Global South, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-students"],"acf":{"cu_post_thumbnail":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/844","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=844"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/844\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":845,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/844\/revisions\/845"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/warinukraineobservatory\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}