ࡱ> `bjbjss 1h@8 8 8 8 8 8 8 L l|,L 2V0000000$V3h5 18 w#w#w# 18 8 ;1///w#j 8 8 0/w#0///8 8 0 pՠ',Jw001020v6+/Rv60v68 0\ / a! 1 1}/ 2w#w#w#w#L L L L L L L L L 8 8 8 8 8 8   C ",+  -'!% !!"  / - 5 >4C;L, 2007/2008 @5?>4020B5;L  .. >?>2, HYPERLINK "mailto:popovv54@online.ru"vpopov@nes.ru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http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/Courses.html" http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/Courses.html >8 AB0BL8 -  HYPERLINK "http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/MainResearchPapers.html" http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/MainResearchPapers.html @>3@0<<0 :C@A0: "5<0 1. $0:B>@K 48=0<8:8 ?@>872>4AB20 ?@8 ?5@5E>45 : @K=:C. "@0=AD>@<0F8>==K9 A?04. (>:>B5@0?8O 8 3@04C0;87<. .;;0@8>=>2. -:>=><8G5A:0O ?>;8B8:0 8 M:>=><8G5A:89 @>AB.  -, 1997, !10. ..>;B5@>28G. "@0=AD>@<0F8>==K9 A?04 2 >AA88. -:>=><8:0 8 <0B5<0B8G5A:85 <5B>4K, 1996, B. 32, 2K?.1, c. 54-69. Kornai, Janos, Transformational Recession: The Main Causes. Journal of Comparative Economics, No. 1, 1994, pp. 39-63. World Development Report. From Plan to Market. World Bank, 1996, Ch. 1,2 Stiglitz, Joseph E. WHITHER REFORM? Ten Years of the Transition. WORLD BANK ANNUAL BANK CONFERENCE ON DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, 1999. Keynote Address, World Bank (HYPERLINK "http://www.worldbank.org/research/abcde/washington_11/pdfs/stiglitz.pdf"http://www.worldbank.org/research/abcde/washington_11/pdfs/stiglitz.pdf) Godoy, Sergio, Joseph Stiglitz. Growth, Initial Conditions, Law and Speed of Privatization in Transition Countries: 11 Years Later. 2004. ( HYPERLINK "http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/download/website/Growth_Initial_Conditions_Law_and_Speed.htm" http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/download/website/Growth_Initial_Conditions_Law_and_Speed.htm). Fischer, Stanley and Sahay, Ratna. Taking Stock. Finance & Development, September 2000, Volume 37, Number 3 (HYPERLINK "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2000/09/fischer.htm"http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2000/09/fischer.htm). The full version is at (HYPERLINK "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2000/wp0030.pdf"http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2000/wp0030.pdf) IMF Working Paper WP/00/30. slund, Anders. Why Has Russias Economic Transformation Been So Arduous? Paper prepared for the Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, Washington, D.C., April 28-30, 1999. (HYPERLINK "http://www.worldbank.org/research/abcde/washington_11/pdfs/aslund.pdf"http://www.worldbank.org/research/abcde/washington_11/pdfs/aslund.pdf) Roland, Gerard. Transition and Economics: Politics, Markets, and Firms. MIT Press. Cambridge, MA, London, 2000, ch. 1,7,8, 13. Popov, V.  HYPERLINK "http://http-server.carleton.ca/~vpopov/documents/Shock%20vs%20grad%20reconsidered%20-15%20years%20after%20-%20CES,%202007.pdf" Shock Therapy versus Gradualism Reconsidered: Lessons from Transition Economies after 15 Years of Reforms. - Comparative Economic Studies, HYPERLINK "http://http-server.carleton.ca/~vpopov/documents/Shock%20vs%20grad%20reconsidered%20-15%20years%20after%20-%20CES,%202007.pdf" Vol.49, Issue 1, March 2007, pp. 1-31.In Russian:  HYPERLINK "file:///G:\\WEB-SITE-POPOV\\documents\\SHOCKvsTHER-Russian-2006-VoprEkon.pdf" (>:>B5@0?8O ?@>B82 3@04C0;87<0 15 ;5B A?CABO: ?>G5<C 48=0<8:0 ?@>872>4AB20 2 AB@0=0E A ?5@5E>4=>9 M:>=><8:>9 1K;0 =5>48=0:>2>9. - >?@>AK M:>=><8:8, ! 5, 2007. Popov, V.  HYPERLINK "http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/documents/TR-REC-full.pdf" Shock Therapy versus Gradualism: The End of the Debate (Explaining the Magnitude of the Transformational Recession) HYPERLINK "http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/documents/TR-REC-full.pdf" .  Comparative Economic Studies, Vol. 42, Spring, 2000, No. 1, pp. 1-57. In Russian  >?>2 . 8=0<8:0 ?@>872>4AB20 ?@8 ?5@5E>45 : @K=:C: 2;8O=85 >1J5:B82=KE CA;>289 8 M:>=><8G5A:>9 ?>;8B8:8 (>?@>AK M:>=><8:8, 1998, ! 7); !8;L=K5 8=AB8BCBK 206=55 A:>@>AB8 @5D>@< (>?@>AK M:>=><8:8, 1998, ! 8). Popov, V.  HYPERLINK "http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/documents/Regions_Apr2000.pdf" Reform Strategies and Economic Performance of Russias Regions. World Development, Vol. 29, No 5, 2001, pp. 865-86. For a short Russian version see: Mirovaya Ekonomika i Mezhdunarodniye Otnosheniya (MEiMO), No.9, 2000; NG-Politekonomiya, Sept. 12, 2000. "5<0 2. 5@5E>4=K5 M:>=><8:8 8 A@02=8B5;L=K9 0=0;87 M:>=><8G5A:8E A8AB5<. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert Comparative Economic System, Houghton Mufflin Company, 5th edition, 1995, Ch. 6,7. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert. Russian and Soviet Economic Performance and Structure, Harper Collins College Publisher, 6th edition, 1998, Ch. 1, 12, 13. Kornai, J. The Socialist System. The Political Economy of Communism. Princeton, NJ, 1992, Ch., 21. pp. 474-512. "5<0 3. K=>G=K9 A>F80;87<. 8@5:B82=>5 8 8=48:0B82=>5 ?;0=8@>20=85. !$-. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert Comparative Economic System, Houghton Mufflin Company, 5th edition, 1995, Ch. 6,7. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert. Russian and Soviet Economic Performance and Structure by Harper Collins College Publisher, 6th edition, 1998, Ch. 10. Kornai, J. The Socialist System. The Political Economy of Communism. Princeton, NJ, 1992, Ch., 21. pp. 474-512. "5<0 4. 17>@ A>25BA:>9 M:>=><8G5A:>9 8AB>@88  2>5==K9 :><<C=87<, -, 48A:CAA8O >1 8=4CAB@80;870F88, :><0=4=0O M:>=><8:0. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert Comparative Economic Systems by, Houghton Mufflin Company, 5th edition, 1995, Ch. 11, 12. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert. Russian and Soviet Economic Performance and Structure by Harper Collins College Publisher, 6th edition, 1998, Ch. 2-5. Shmelev, Nikolai and Popov, Vladimir. The Turning Point: Revitalizing the Soviet Economy. Doubleday, 1989, Ch. 1,3; In Russian  (<5;52 ., >?>2 . 0 ?5@5;><5: M:>=><8G5A:0O ?5@5AB@>9:0 2 !!! . ., 740B5;LAB2> , 1989, 3;.1,3. "5<0 5. !>25BA:0O M:>=><8G5A:0O AB0B8AB8:0. K; ;8 ?5@5E>4 : :><0=4=>9 M:>=><8:5 =587156=5=? Shmelev, Nikolai and Popov, Vladimir. The Turning Point: Revitalizing the Soviet Economy. Doubleday, 1989, Ch. 2,3; In Russian  (<5;52 ., >?>2 . 0 ?5@5;><5: M:>=><8G5A:0O ?5@5AB@>9:0 2 !!! . ., 740B5;LAB2> , 1989, 3;.2,3. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert. Russian and Soviet Economic Performance and Structure by Harper Collins College Publisher, 6th edition, 1998, Ch. 2-5. "5<0 6. ;0=>20O M:>=><8:0  ?@0:B8:0 ?;0=8@>20=8O, >@30=870F8>==0O AB@C:BC@0 8 ?@8G8=K =5MDD5:B82=>AB8. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert Comparative Economic Systems by, Houghton Mufflin Company, 5th edition, 1995, Ch. 11, 12. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert. Russian and Soviet Economic Performance and Structure by Harper Collins College Publisher, 6th edition, 1998, Ch. 6,7,11. Shmelev, Nikolai and Popov, Vladimir. The Turning Point: Revitalizing the Soviet Economy. Doubleday, 1989, Ch. 4,5; In Russian  (<5;52 ., >?>2 . 0 ?5@5;><5: M:>=><8G5A:0O ?5@5AB@>9:0 2 !!! . ., 740B5;LAB2> , 1989, 3;.4,5. "5<0 7. &5=K, @K=>: B@C40, D8=0=AK, :@548B, 2=5H=5M:>=><8G5A:85 A2O78 2 ?;0=>2>9 M:>=><8:5. Shmelev, Nikolai and Popov, Vladimir. The Turning Point: Revitalizing the Soviet Economy. Doubleday, 1989, Ch. 4,6,7; In Russian  (<5;52 ., >?>2 . 0 ?5@5;><5: M:>=><8G5A:0O ?5@5AB@>9:0 2 !!! . ., 740B5;LAB2> , 1989, 3;.4,6,7. Gregory, Paul and Stuart, Robert. Russian and Soviet Economic Performance and Structure by Harper Collins College Publisher, 6th edition, 1998, Ch. 6,8-10. >?@>AK 8 7040G8 : M:70<5=0<: >?@>AK 1. 09B5 >?@545;5=85 H>:>B5@0?88 8 3@04C0;87<0. 0:>2K 3;02=K5 A>AB02;ONI85 MB8E AB@0B5389 ?5@5E>40 : @K=:C. 2. !@02=8B5 =081>;55 206=K5 E0@0:B5@=K5 >A>15==>AB8 >A=>2=KE <>45;59 ?5@5E>40 : @K=:C (8B09, >;LH0, >AA8O). 3. ?8H8B5 2:@0BF5 @5D>@<K, :>B>@K5 =5>1E>48<> ?@54?@8=OBL 4;O ?@52@0I5=8O ?;0=>2>9 M:>=><8:8 2 @K=>G=CN. 4. 'B> B0:>5 B@0=AD>@<0F8>==K9 A?04? BG53> >= ?@>8AE>48B? ~    $ & * , . 0 < > D F J L N R οs^s^sο)hHNh&I0J&B*OJQJmHphsH!hHNh&I0J&B*OJQJph#jhHNh&IOJQJUhHNh&IOJQJjhHNh&IOJQJU hlh&Ihy)OJQJhHNh&IOJQJmHsHhHNh&ImHsHhHNh&I5OJQJmHsHhHNh&I5OJQJhHNh&I5CJ P R 68,~%gdJ1%gdX $a$$a$gdHN  68X068dhļĴڭĭڢązo_M"jhP5CJUaJmHsHhlhl5CJaJmHsHhX hlmHsHhX h&ImHsH)hX hX B* OJQJ^JmHphsHhX mHsHhHNh=mHsH hHNh&IhlmHsHh3TmHsHhgmHsHhHNh&I5CJmHsHhHNh&ImHsHhHNh&IOJQJmHsHh OJQJmHsH.246 "$ʸweLw:w#hhP0J&5OJQJmHsH1jhhP5>*OJQJUmHsH"hPhP5>*OJQJmHsH%jhP5>*OJQJUmHsHhP5>*OJQJmHsHh&I5CJaJmHsH#hhP0J&5CJaJmHsH"jhP5CJUaJmHsH.jhhP5CJUaJmHsHhlhP5CJaJmHsHhP5CJaJmHsH Dfgh˺||kWkDk%hPh&I0J&B*OJQJ^Jph'j#hPh&IOJQJU^J!jhPh&IOJQJU^JhPh&I>*OJQJ^JhPh&IOJQJ^J#hPh&I>*OJQJ^JmHsH hPh&IOJQJ^JmHsH!hPh&IB*^JmHphsH&hPh&I5>*OJQJ^JmHsH"hPhP5>*OJQJmHsHhl5>*OJQJmHsH' z{8 9 : w x ǘ}lXlEll%hPh&I0J&B*OJQJ^Jph'jIhPh&IOJQJU^J!jhPh&IOJQJU^JhPh&I>*OJQJ^JhPh&IOJQJ^J(hPhJ10J&5B*^JmH phsH 3j$hPhJ15B*U^JmH phsH -jhPhJ15B*U^JmH phsH hPhJ15B*^Jph$hPhJ15B*^JmH phsH  !!!!?"@"A"""####### $ںںںr[H[8hPhP0J&OJQJ\^J$hPhPB*OJQJ\^Jph-jhPhPB*OJQJU\^Jph$h;Jmh;JmB*OJQJ\^Jphh;JmB*OJQJ\^Jph hPh&IOJQJ^JmHsH'jhPh&IOJQJU^JhPh&IOJQJ^J%hPh&I0J&B*OJQJ^Jph!jhPh&IOJQJU^J'j6hPh&IOJQJU^J/!!"#D'+&-'-.~/011023J4*5,5*6"7V8(:*::<==>?% $+$-$$$$$$$$$$$$$%%%% % %%%%%!%#%.%/%6%<%D%E%H%J%&ղŸŸxgxgxgxgxgxgxgxgxgxgxgx!hPhPB*OJQJ^Jph!h;JmhPB*OJQJ^Jph*jhPhPB*OJQJU^Jph$h;JmhPB*OJQJ\^JphhPhP0J&OJQJ\^J$hPhPB*OJQJ\^Jph-jhPhPB*OJQJU\^Jph%hPhP0J&6OJQJ\]^J#&&&'&'>'@'B'D'V'X'Z'''((J)L)T)oXEX5XEX5hPhP0J&OJQJ\^J$hPhPB*OJQJ\^Jph-jhPhPB*OJQJU\^Jph$h;Jmh;JmB*OJQJ\^Jphh;JmB*OJQJ\^Jph hPhPOJQJ^JmHsH*jhPhPB*OJQJU^JphhPhP0J&OJQJ^J*hPhP0J&6OJQJ]^JmHsHh;JmhP0J&OJQJ^J$hPhP0J&OJQJ^JmHsHT)))))))))**f+++++++++#,$,f,Ųnn]]M:Ų$h;Jmh;JmB*OJQJ\^Jphh;JmB*OJQJ\^Jph hPhPOJQJ^JmHsH#hPh&I>*OJQJ^JmHsH hPh&IOJQJ^JmHsHhPh&IOJQJ^J'hPhP5B*OJQJ\^Jph$hPhPB*OJQJ\^Jph-jhPhPB*OJQJU\^JphhPhP0J&OJQJ\^J%hPhP0J&6OJQJ\]^Jf,w,,,,$-%-....//,0T1X1\1l1p1~111$2.2r22\334444555űtffttttXffttthPh&I5OJQJ^JhPh&I>*OJQJ^J hPh&IOJQJ^JmHsH#hPh&I5OJQJ^JmHsHhPhPOJQJ^JhPh&IOJQJ^J'hPhP5B*OJQJ\^Jph-jhPhPB*OJQJU\^JphhPhP0J&OJQJ\^J%hPhP0J&6OJQJ\]^J"5,5*6l66f77899,909>999999*::2;;;;;;;;;<j<<<f==>?*OJQJ^JmHsHhPh&I>*OJQJ^JhPh&IOJQJ^J!hPh&IB*^JmHphsH hPh&IOJQJ^JmHsH8?@BBC\EFFFFFFFGHzIIjklmnDoopPqlrsltuXD\DnDrDtDDD E\EE FFFFFFFFIjlmm m mmm$mmmmnyyyyyyyy$fh󸮡{yU#hPh&I5OJQJ^JmHsH&hPh&I5>*OJQJ^JmHsHhPh;JmOJQJ^Jh;JmOJQJ^Jh&IOJQJ^JhPh&I>*OJQJ^J#hPh&I>*OJQJ^JmHsH hPh&IOJQJ^JmHsHhPh&IOJQJ^J/5. >G5<C 2 8B05 8 2> L5B=0<5 =5 1K;> B@0=AD>@<0F8>==>3> A?040? 6. >G5<C ?045=85 ?@>872>4AB20 2 ?5@8>4 @K=>G=KE @5D>@< 2 >AB>G=>9 2@>?5 1K;> <5=55 3;C1>:8< 8 ?@>4>;68B5;L=K<, G5< 2 AB@0=0E 1K2H53> !!! ? 7. >G5<C ?5@5E>4 >B ?;0=>2>9 A8AB5<K : @K=>G=>9 2 20-5 3>4K (-) =5 1K; A>?@O65= A ?045=85< ?@>872>4AB20, :0: 2 90-5 3>4K ? 8. 'B> B0:>5 2K@0AB0=85 87 A>F80;87<0 ( growing out of socialism )? 0:>2K 2K3>4K 8 8745@6:8 B0:>9 AB@0B5388? 9. 0:85 @57C;LB0BK 405B 0=0;87 D0:B>@>2 @>AB0 (growth accounting) 2 ?5@5E>4=KE M:>=><8:0E 2> 2@5<O B@0=AD>@<0F8>==>3> A?040? >G5<C? 10. 1JOA=8B5, GB> B0:>5 ?@58<CI5AB20 >BAB0;>AB8 ?@8<5=8B5;L=> : ?5@5E>4=K< M:>=><8:0<. 11. 1JOA=8B5, :0: A:>@>ABL @5D>@< 2;8O5B =0 M:>=><8G5A:CN 48=0<8:C. 12. 0:8< >1@07>< 3>AC40@AB25==K5 8=AB8BCBK 2;8ONB =0 48=0<8:C ?@>872>4AB20 2 ?5@5E>4=K9 ?5@8>4? --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 13. @>:;0AA8D8F8@C9B5 M:>=><8G5A:85 A8AB5<K, 8A?>;L7CO 2 :0G5AB25 :@8B5@8O <0AHB01K 8 D>@<K 3>AC40@AB25==>3> CG0AB8O 2 M:>=><8G5A:>9 687=8. 14. 0:>2K @5:><5=40F88 =5>:;0AA8:>2 8 :59=A80=F52 2 >B=>H5=88 <0:@>M:>=><8G5A:>9 ?>;8B8:8? 0 :0:8E ?@54?>AK;:0E > AB@C:BC@5 @K=:>2 >=8 >A=>20=K? 15. 1JOA=8B5 @07=8FC <564C <0:@>M:>=><8G5A:>9 ?>;8B8:>9 8 ?@><KH;5==>9 AB@0B53859 (AB@C:BC@=>9 ?>;8B8:>9). 16. 09B5 :;0AA8D8:0F8N @K=>G=KE 8 =5@K=>G=KE A8AB5< ?> B8?C A>1AB25==>AB8. 17. @028;L=> ;8 CB25@645=85, GB> @K=>:  >A=>20 45<>:@0B88, 0 G0AB=0O A>1AB25==>ABL  >A=>20 ?@02 G5;>25:0? >G5<C? ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 18. 'B> B0:>5 @K=>G=K9 A>F80;87<? 19. !@02=8B5 ?>2545=85 8 MDD5:B82=>ABL ?@>872>4AB25==KE :>>?5@0B82>2 8 G0ABKE D8@< 2 @K=>G=>9 M:>=><8:5. 20. !@02=8B5 ?@>F5AA 8 @57C;LB0BK 48@5:B82=>3> 8 8=48:0B82=>3> ?;0=8@>20=8O. 21. !@02=8B5 ?@>F5AA 8 @57C;LB0BK 8=48:0B82=>3> ?;0=8@>2=8O (. 0=35, . 0=B>@>28G) 8 @K=>G=>3> @02=>25A8O. 22. 'B> B0:>5 ?;0=>20O M:>=><8:0 (Soviet-type economic system)? E0@0:B5@87C9B5 @07=>284=>AB8 ?;0=>2KE M:>=><8:. ---------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- 23. 09B5 E0@0:B5@8AB8:C M:>=><8G5A:>9 A8AB5<K 2 @>AA89A:>< A5;LA:>< E>7O9AB25 ?>A;5 03@0@=>9 @5D>@<K 18613. 24. 0:>2K 206=59H85 M:>=><8G5A:85 ?@8G8=K B@5E @CAA:8E @52>;NF89  1905-190733., D52@0;LA:>9 8 >:BO1@LA:>9 19173. ? 25. 09B5 E0@0:B5@8AB8:C M:>=><8:8 2>5==>3> :><<C=87<0. K;0 ;8 B0:0O A8AB5<0 =587156=>9 2> 2@5<O 2>9=K? 26. E0@0:B5@87C9B5 :@0B:> >A=>2=K5 G5@BK -0. 27. 'B> B0:>5 =>6=8FK F5= 8 :@878A A1KB0 19233. 1JOA=8B5 8E ?@8G8=K. 28. 0:>2K 3;02=K5 @07;8G8O 2 >F5=:0E A>25BA:>3> @>AB0 >D8F80;L=>9 A>25BA:>9 AB0B8AB8:>9 8 =57028A8<K<8 M:A?5@B0<8? 29. >G5<C A>25BA:0O AB0B8AB8:0 70=860;0 B5<?K @>AB0 F5= 8 702KH0;0 B5<?K @>AB0 ?@>872>4AB20? 30. 'B> B0:>5 354>=8G5A:85 8=45:AK F5=? @8 :0:8E CA;>28OE >=8 1>;LH5 2A53> @0AE>4OBAO A >1KG=K<8 8=45:A0<8 F5=? 31. 0:85 8<5==> 40==K5 A>25BA:>9 AB0B8AB8:8 O2;ONBAO 1>;55 8 <5=55 =0456=K<8? >G5<C? 32. 'B> B0:>5 MDD5:B 5@H5=:@>=0 (index number relativity  7028A8<>ABL @57C;LB0B>2 87<5@5=8O B5<?>2 @>AB0 >B 8AE>4=>9 107K)? 33. E0@0:B5@87C9B5 3;02=K5 ?>78F88 AB>@>= 2 48A:CAA88 >1 8=4CAB@80;870F88. 34. ?8H8B5 ?5@5E>4 : :><0=4=>9 M:>=><8:5 2 :>=F5 20-E  =0G0;5 30-E 3>4>2. 0:85 3;02=K5 @5D>@<K 1K;8 ?@>2545=K? 35. E0@0:B5@87C9B5 2K3>4K 8 8745@6:8 ?5@5E>40 : :><0=4=>9 M:>=><8:5 2 :>=F5 20-E  =0G0;5 30-E 3>4>2. 36. 0:>2K 3;02=K5 0@3C<5=BK 8AA;54>20B5;59, >?@024K20NI8E =5>1E>48<>ABL ?5@5E>40 : :><0=4=>9 M:>=><8:5 2 :>=F5 20-E  =0G0;5 30-E 3>4>2? 5@=K >=8 8;8 =5B? >G5<C? 37. !@02=8B5 M:>=><8:C 2>5==>3> :><<C=87<0 8 :><0=4=CN M:>=><8:C, A;>682HCNAO ?>A;5 :>;;5:B82870F88. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 38. >G5<C F5=B@0;87>20==>5 ?;0=8@>20=85 A>7405B 48A?@>?>@F88? 39. 0:>2K 3;02=K5 ?>B5@8 2 MDD5:B82=>AB8 2 ?;0=>2>9 M:>=>3<8:5 2 A@02=5=88 A @K=>G=>9? 1JOA=8B5. 40. E0@0:B5@87C9B5 :>=F5=B@0F8N 8 A?5F80;870F8N ?@>872>4AB20 2 A>25BA:>9 M:>=><8:5. 41. 1JOA=8B5 ?>G5<C M=5@3>5<:>ABL 8 <0B5@80;>5<:>ABL A>25BA:>9 M:>=><8:8 1K;0 2KA>:>9? 42. 1JOA=8B5 ?>G5<C B>20@=>-<0B5@80;L=K5 70?0AK 2 A>25BA:>9 M:>=><8:5 1K;8 2KA>:8<8? 43. >G5<C D>=4>>B40G0 2 ?;0=>2>9 M:>=><8:5 1K;0 =87:>9 8 ?>AB>O==> ?040;0? 44. 0:>2K A8;L=K5 8 A;01K5 AB>@>=K A8AB5<K   8 2=54@5=8O =>2>22545=89 2 ?;0=>2>9 M:>=><8:5? 45. >G5<C ?;0=K ?;>E> 2K?>;=O;8AL? '5< >?@545;O;8AL @07;8G8O ?;0=>2KE 8 D0:B8G5A:8E ?>:070B5;59? ------------------------------------------- 46. 0: 87<5=O;8AL F5=K 8 @5=B015;L=>ABL 2 AK@L52KE 8 >1@010BK20NI8E >B@0A;OE 2 ?;0=>2>9 M:>=><8:5? 47. >G5<C 2 ?;0=>2>9 M:>=><8:5 =5 1K;> 157@01>B8FK? 0:>2K 1K;8 8745@6:8 B0:>9 ?>;8B8:8? 48. 0:8< 1K;> =5@025=AB2> 2 @0A?@545;5=88 4>E>4>2 2 ?;0=>2>9 M:>=><8:5 2 A@02=5=88 A @K=>G=>9? >G5<C? 49. 1JOA=8B5 @07;8G8O 2 @5=B015;L=>AB8 ?@54?@8OB89 2 ?;0=>2>9 M:>=><8:5. 0: @0A?@545;O;0AL ?@81K;L ?@54?@8OB89? 50. !@02=8B5 D8=0=A>2K5 0:B82K 8 ?0AA82K ?@54?@8OB89 2 A>25BA:>9 8 2 @K=>G=>9 M:>=><8:5. 51. 0: 87<5=O;8AL D8=0=A>2K5 0:B82K =0A5;5=8O 8 ?@54?@8OB89 2 A>25BA:>9 M:>=><8:5 2 A@02=5=88 2 ? >G5<C? 52. 'B> B0:>5  (48DD5@5=F8@>20==K5 20;NB=K5 :>MDD8F85=BK)? 0:85 ?>A;54AB28O 4;O AB@C:BC@K 2=5H=59 B>@3>2;8 !!!  >=8 8<5;8? 53. E0@0:B5@87C9B5 B>@3>2K5 8 D8=0=A>2K5 ?>B>:8 <564C A>25BA:8<8 @5A?C1;8:0<8? B> 1K; 2 2K83@KH5, :B> 2 ?@>83@KH5? 040G8 1. A;8 45=56=0O <0AA0 2 >1@0I5=88 C25;8G8;0AL =0 40%, 2 B> 2@5<O :0: >1J5< 2K?CA:0 A>:@0B8;AO =0 30%, 0 A:>@>ABL >1@0I5=8O 45=53 >AB0;0AL =587<5==>9, :0: 87<5=8;AO >1I89 C@>25=L F5=? 2. 0 @K=:5 459AB2CNB 425 D8@<K A> AB0=40@B=K<8 ?@>872>4AB25==K<8 DC=:F8O<8; >4=0 <0:A8<878@C5B ?@81K;L, 4@C30O  G8ABK9 G8ABK9 4>E>4 =0 >4=>3> 70=OB>3>. 0:0O D8@<0 1C45B =0=8<0BL <5=LH5 @01>G8E? 0: D8@<K >B@5038@CNB =0 ?>2KH5=85 F5= =0 ?@>872>48<CN ?@>4C:F8N? 1JOA=8B5 8 409B5 3@0D8G5A:CN 8;;NAB@0F8N. 3.  19283. !!!  ?@>872>48; 100 548=8F B5:AB8;L=>9 ?@>4C:F88 8 50 548=8F <0H8=>AB@>8B5;L=>9.  B>< 65 19283. F5=0 548=8FK B5:AB8;O 8 >1>@C4>20=8O A>AB028;0 1 @C1;L 8 2 @C1;O A>>B25BAB25==>.  19803. !!!  ?@>8725; 200 548=8F B5:AB8;L=>9 ?@>4C:F88 8 1000 548=8F >1>@C4>20=8O, 0 F5=K =0 B5:AB8;L 8 >1>@C4>20=85 ?>4=O;8AL 4> 10 @C1;59 8 10 @C1;59 A>>B25BAB25==>. 0 A:>;L:> C25;8G8;8AL F5=K 2 1928-8033.? 0: C25;8G8;AO >1J5< ?@>872>4AB20 2 F5=0E 19283.?  F5=0E 19803.? 1JOA=8B5 @07=8FC. 4.  19983.  >AA88 2 B5:CI8E F5=0E A>AB028; 2700 <;@4. @C1., 0 2 19973.  2500 <;@4. @C1. =D;OF8O (87<5@O5<0O 8=45:A><-45D;OB>@>< ) A>AB028;0 2 19983. 14%. 0: 87<5=8;AO D878G5A:89 >1J5<  (2 ?>AB>O==KE F5=0E) 2 19983. 2 A@02=5=88 A 19973.? 5.  19853. A>25BA:89  =0 4CHC =0A5;5=8O A>AB02;O; 30% >B C@>2=O !(. >;O 8=25AB8F89 8 @0AE>4>2 =0 >1>@>=C 2  2 B>< 65 3>4C A>AB028;0 50% 2 !!!  8 25% 2 !(. 0: A>>B=>A8;8AL C@>2=8 ?>B@51;5=8O (;8G=>3> 8 =52>5==>3> >1I5AB25==>3>) =0 4CHC =0A5;5=8O 2 !!!  8 !(? uuvvwnxLy.zz{|}}~~f"H.H‡@`  h,NҏhDB,.>ܝgdlhl,PRԏ֏jl.:ѿѴhPh&ImHsH#hPh&I>*OJQJ^JmHsH hPh&IOJQJ^JmHsH hPhlOJQJ^JmHsHhPhlOJQJ^J/0P. A!"#$n% DyK yK 4mailto:popovv54@online.ru)DyK 'http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/Courses.htmlyK fhttp://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/Courses.htmlyX;H,]ą'cUDyK 2http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/MainResearchPapers.htmlyK |http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/MainResearchPapers.htmlyX;H,]ą'cDyK yK http://www.worldbank.org/research/abcde/washington_11/pdfs/stiglitz.pdf%DyK lhttp://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/download/website/Growth_Initial_Conditions_Law_and_Speed.htmyK http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/download/website/Growth_Initial_Conditions_Law_and_Speed.htmDyK yK |http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2000/09/fischer.htmDyK yK nhttp://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2000/wp0030.pdfDyK yK http://www.worldbank.org/research/abcde/washington_11/pdfs/aslund.pdf+8@8 Normal_HmH sH tHDA@D Default Paragraph FontViV  Table Normal :V 44 la (k(No List POP Definition TermCJhmHsHtH uXOX Definition List h^hCJhmHsHtH u0O0 Definition6LOL H1$dd@&5CJ0KH$hmHsHtH uHOH H2$dd@&5CJ$hmHsHtH uHOH H3$dd@&5CJhmHsHtH uHOH H4$dd@&5CJhmHsHtH uDOD H5$dd@&5hmHsHtH uHOH H6$dd@&5CJhmHsHtH uDOD Address6CJhmHsHtH u^O^ Blockquotehhdd]h^hCJhmHsHtH u$O$ CITE6,O, CODE CJOJQJ8O8 Keyboard5CJOJQJtOt Preformatted( # ~= z9!v%OJQJhmHsHtH ulOlz-Bottom of Form1$$da$"<CJOJQJ_HhmHsHtH fOfz-Top of Form1$&da$"<CJOJQJ_HhmHsHtH ,O, SampleOJQJ8O8 Typewriter CJOJQJ,O!, Variable64O14 HTML Markup<B**OA* Comment<<B@R< Body Text%5B* OJQJ0U@a0 Hyperlink>*B*POrP Body Text 21'5$7$8$9DH$`CJ2O2 Hyperlink1>*B*L>@L Title)$5$7$8$9DH$a$5CJ(OJQJ@V@@ FollowedHyperlink>*B* h@@TCH  ~    /qr1>?hiO !!3" ########U$$/%k%%<&&,'' (S(())5***c+++T,,---T..4/d//0|00D1122233L444C555>667-777T8899 :f::::C;v<]>Y?g@j@00000000000000000%0000000%0%000000h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h0h000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000  $&T)f,5XDh%()*+,./0124R?u &-3PQ'pAPg   z 9w@+,J99(nh@XXXXXXXXXXXXXX/X2$iA' Lʻl2$'چ&0R'@0( { B S  ?h@iAidiiT}i$Mi}it}iLiMidKjDJj1j2j3jājŁjŁjǁjȁ7 GGa((j@     ; MMo ++j@ 9 *urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttagsState8 *urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttagsCity8*urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttagsdateB*urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttagscountry-region9*urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttagsplace `V 12199920002849DayMonthYear   dp|QRSV^_gh{MO      % /5 KVWJOPQS[\hilmuvwx}#,-8:?Q_r "(-15>? _aJPTYfi % !!Q!W![!`!m!!!!!2"3":"H"M""""""""######T$U$$$.%/%j%k%m%n%%%;&<&&&&'+','\'o''' ( (R(S((())))4*5*m*n*****b+c+++++S,T,,,--3-9-:-Q-----S.T...3/4/c/d///00m0n0{0|000C1D1f11112222223333K4L44444B5C55555=6>66677,7-7/71777777777S8T8V8X8l8m8888899!9#999 : :e:f:::::B;C;u<v<\>]>l>m>X?Y?f@j@!z ' ~  I )+"-/1R$  UWO p !\!^!3"X""" #A###$%,%&&..44G5P555@8A8d:e:f:n:;;<<>=D=j@333333333333333333333333333333333@TQ{ ' rz667-7j@j@*HHH@h ^`OJQJo(H@h ^`OJQJo(=Z&F&IHNPuJ_g;Jm}sW{y)X 3T J1lod@  P<   KKKrrrrr r"r#k%h@```8@`&`(`X@`.`0`4`8`@`D`F`jUnknownGz Times New Roman5Symbol3& z Arial?5 z Courier New_FBrush Script MTCourier New"qh|| 6 t 6 t!24dH@H@2QHX(?J12<COMPARATIVE ECONOMIC SYSTEMS AND CENTRALLY PLANNED ECONOMIESEURUSvpopov Oh+'0 $0 P \ ht|@COMPARATIVE ECONOMIC SYSTEMS AND CENTRALLY PLANNED ECONOMIESEURUS Normal.dotvpopov2Microsoft Office Word@@F'@F' 6՜.+,D՜.+,p, hp   CARLETONt H@ =COMPARATIVE ECONOMIC SYSTEMS AND CENTRALLY PLANNED ECONOMIES Title`  8@ _PID_HLINKSA T{'8http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/documents/Regions_Apr2000.pdfi5$4http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/documents/TR-REC-full.pdfi5!4http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/documents/TR-REC-full.pdf!EBG:\WEB-SITE-POPOV\documents\SHOCKvsTHER-Russian-2006-VoprEkon.pdfjulhttp://http-server.carleton.ca/~vpopov/documents/Shock vs grad reconsidered -15 years after - CES, 2007.pdfjulhttp://http-server.carleton.ca/~vpopov/documents/Shock vs grad reconsidered -15 years after - CES, 2007.pdfqFhttp://www.worldbank.org/research/abcde/washington_11/pdfs/aslund.pdf~u7http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2000/wp0030.pdfN>http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2000/09/fischer.htm6C lhttp://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/download/website/Growth_Initial_Conditions_Law_and_Speed.htmq Hhttp://www.worldbank.org/research/abcde/washington_11/pdfs/stiglitz.pdfIU2http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/MainResearchPapers.htmlu|'http://www.nes.ru/~vpopov/Courses.htmlKqmailto:popovv54@online.ru  !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSUVWXYZ[]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwyz{|}~Root Entry FeXՠ'Data T1Table\6WordDocument1SummaryInformation(xDocumentSummaryInformation8CompObjq  FMicrosoft Office Word Document MSWordDocWord.Document.89q