{"id":206,"date":"2017-12-18T21:41:48","date_gmt":"2017-12-19T02:41:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spatialdeterminants.com\/?p=206"},"modified":"2025-04-29T10:04:51","modified_gmt":"2025-04-29T14:04:51","slug":"population-change-and-population-health-a-spatio-temporal-analysis-of-new-brunswick-communities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/2017\/population-change-and-population-health-a-spatio-temporal-analysis-of-new-brunswick-communities\/","title":{"rendered":"Population Change and Population Health: A Spatio-temporal Analysis of New Brunswick Communities"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<section class=\"w-screen px-6 cu-section cu-section--white ml-offset-center md:px-8 lg:px-14\">\n    <div class=\"space-y-6 cu-max-w-child-5xl  md:space-y-10 cu-prose-first-last\">\n\n            <div class=\"cu-textmedia flex flex-col lg:flex-row mx-auto gap-6 md:gap-10 my-6 md:my-12 first:mt-0 max-w-5xl\">\n        <div class=\"justify-start cu-textmedia-content cu-prose-first-last\" style=\"flex: 0 0 100%;\">\n            <header class=\"font-light prose-xl cu-pageheader md:prose-2xl cu-component-updated cu-prose-first-last\">\n                                    <h1 class=\"cu-prose-first-last font-semibold !mt-2 mb-4 md:mb-6 relative after:absolute after:h-px after:bottom-0 after:bg-cu-red after:left-px text-3xl md:text-4xl lg:text-5xl lg:leading-[3.5rem] pb-5 after:w-10 text-cu-black-700 not-prose\">\n                        Population Change and Population Health: A Spatio-temporal Analysis of New Brunswick Communities\n                    <\/h1>\n                \n                                \n                            <\/header>\n\n                    <\/div>\n\n            <\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<p>This <a href=\"https:\/\/journals.lib.unb.ca\/index.php\/JNBS\/article\/view\/25881\/30044\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">article<\/a> was recently published in the <a href=\"http:\/\/w3.stu.ca\/stu\/sites\/jnbs\/en\/index.aspx\">Journal of New Brunswick Studies<\/a>, in their special issue on the health of New Brunswickers. In this article, I explored how much we can understand from core population health indicators, and the relationship between these and population change at the sub-regional level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Abstract<\/strong>: This paper considers population change in small areas of New Brunswick in relation to community-level population health indicators. Population forecasts developed via regionally constrained models are presented in conjunction with health indicators data for health zones and health council communities. Temporal and spatial variation in health indicators is discussed in relation to where population growth is forecasted to occur, and where there will be continued population decline. The results show that population growth is forecasted only for the areas surrounding Fredericton, Moncton, and Saint John, with most other areas predicted to experience continued population decline, even if the province as a whole does not. These forecasts are within a context where communities with declining population are also those with lower values across a range of non-medical determinants of health. These results present an opportunity to focus provincial strategies based on the combination of observed trends of population change and geographic inequalities of population health.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/spatialdeterminants.files.wordpress.com\/2017\/12\/jnbs8_art03_fig3.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/spatialdeterminants.files.wordpress.com\/2017\/12\/jnbs8_art03_fig3.jpg?w=277\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-207\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This article was recently published in the Journal of New Brunswick Studies, in their special issue on the health of New Brunswickers. In this article, I explored how much we can understand from core population health indicators, and the relationship between these and population change at the sub-regional level. Abstract: This paper considers population change [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":277,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[24,26,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-health","category-population-studies","category-social-determinants-2"],"acf":{"cu_post_thumbnail":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=206"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/206\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":280,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/206\/revisions\/280"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/277"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/determinants\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}